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The way opinion is moving in Scotland the value IndyRef bet is now on YES

March 21st, 2014

The betting seems to be lagging behind the polls

This morning I made my first serious Scottish IndyRef bets and my money went on YES.

This is not a prediction but my assessment of how I think the betting will move in the coming weeks and months.

There has been a clear tightening in the polls and if this continues I can see the YES price moving in with NO moving out. The prices, seen in the chart, are quite generous and my guess is that they will move.

Note The betting percentages don’t add up to 100 because they are based on actual trades.

Mike Smithson

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