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Month: January 2014

Why Scottish LAB voters hold the key to their country’s future

Why Scottish LAB voters hold the key to their country’s future

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On Sunday we reported on the ICM poll in Scotland on September’s IndyRef which had the gap narrowing sharply. On one measure those who wanted independence were just 6% behind. Now I’ve had a chance to look at the detail and the above findings stand out – whether voters mght change their mind broken down by which party they supported in the 2011 Holyrood elections. On the voting question LAB voters from 2011 split 28% YES to 72%. LDs were…

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Suddenly what’s emerging as the key issue facing voters is not one where the Tories or Labour are setting the agenda

Suddenly what’s emerging as the key issue facing voters is not one where the Tories or Labour are setting the agenda

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January @IpsosMORI Issues Index out & immigration now jt 1st with economy See pic.twitter.com/OVbmvJitFi — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2014 In Jan 2013 concern about economy was 30% pts higher than immigration – gap now closed http://t.co/csa4Xt3KDq pic.twitter.com/F8k2SR8dWu — Bobby Duffy (@BobbyIpsosMORI) January 28, 2014 Women less concerned about immigration than men. See concern levels for different groups in this @IpsosMORI chart pic.twitter.com/V7VG7wpMw9 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2014 Declining concerns about the economy take away a blue strong-point…

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Nighthawks is now open

Nighthawks is now open

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Home of the web’s best political conversation Why not relax, and converse into the night on the day’s events in PB NightHawks. If you’re a lurker, and Wannabe a poster, Stop, lurking, Spice Up Your Life, by becoming a poster on pb. The round up of recent events (click on the links below, and it will bring up the relevant link) The only loser in Britain’s resurgent economy is Labour - Now George Osborne’s austerity strategy has been vindicated, Ed Balls…

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ComRes/ITV News poll finds the public grumpy about all the main parties

ComRes/ITV News poll finds the public grumpy about all the main parties

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9% tell ComRes/ITV News poll that George Osborne has made their family better off. See this & other findings pic.twitter.com/FeFg9pEZ38 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2014 The groups in society that those sampled by ComRes/ITV thought the coalition government understands the concerns of pic.twitter.com/jeq6WXBXm0 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 28, 2014 Perhaps this is the backcloth for UKIP’s progress?

YouGov, like Survation at the weekend, finds 61 percent back raising the tax rate for high earners to 50p

YouGov, like Survation at the weekend, finds 61 percent back raising the tax rate for high earners to 50p

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But YouGov finds more people are opposed We’ve now got the second poll on the Ed Balls tax plan announced on Saturday. It’s from YouGov for today’s Times and finds 61% to 26% against. The detail hasn’t been published yes but the paper reports that LAB voters are overwhelmingly supportive, while 52% cent of CON supporters are opposed.45% think the move would help the economy, 19% say it would cause damage. Labour will be pleased that this key policy continues…

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Time for the red team to push the panic button? LAB share down 4 and lead just 1pc in latest ComRes phone poll for the Indy

Time for the red team to push the panic button? LAB share down 4 and lead just 1pc in latest ComRes phone poll for the Indy

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And YouGov has lead down to 2% The monthly ComRes/Indy survey is one of just three monthly national polls remaining which use the telephone and its publication, usually at the end of the month, is always an occasion. The latest party shares with changes on December are in the chart above and as can be seen the big move has been LAB down 4 while UKIP has gone up by the same amount. The result is that Miliband’s party now…

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The battle over Labour’s planned 50 percent tax rate: Day 3

The battle over Labour’s planned 50 percent tax rate: Day 3

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http://t.co/pBkzxMviTW pic.twitter.com/uaMWjpAiOY — PolPics (@PolPics) January 27, 2014 I’ve just been on Radio 4’s the World at One talking about the polling on the 50% tax rate and Labour on the economy. I’ll post a link when it become avaiable. The Tory attacks have been long and strong and, no doubt, this will be one of the big battles at GE2015 but just how important is managing the economy? To my mind this from the recent Lord Ashcroft poll sets…

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Most current polling movement is between CON and UKIP with LAB and LD relatively stable

Most current polling movement is between CON and UKIP with LAB and LD relatively stable

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Check out the interactive chart Each week, as we know, YouGov carries out four polls for the Sun and one for its News International stable-mate, the Sunday Times. The result is a mass of polling data that sometimes it is hard to see the big picture. This is the reaon why over the past few weeks I have been producing a weekly average of the party shares YouGov daily polls in order that this might be a good way of…

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