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The PB 2014 Prediction Competition

January 8th, 2014

It’s time to make your predictions for 2014…

It’s going to be a busy year ahead – the Euros, Scotland, and the world’s four biggest democracies all voting. Who’ll win the UK Euro-Elections, and will Scotland be on the road to independence by the end of the year? Will the coalition still be in place at Christmas? It’s time to dust off your crystal ball and make your competition predictions for 2014.

    As before the competition is being hosted by the Election Game. If you would like to take part, the Leaders & Finance game is available here. Entries close 5pm this Sunday. The Game can also be followed on Twitter (@electiongame).

Please do not make predictions on this thread, but click through to the link below.

PB entries close 7pm next Monday – enter the competition here

 

Part 1 – on Christmas Day 2014 who will be…?

(50 points for each correct answer unless shown otherwise)

1 – UK Prime Minister (100 points)

2 – Deputy Prime Minister

3 – Shadow Chancellor

 

Part 2 – Scotland and the Euros

(50 points for accurate answers reducing by ten points for each 1% out until zero points are reached)

4 – Percentage YES vote in Scottish Independence referendum

5 – Conservatives GB vote % in Euro-elections

6 – Labour GB vote % in Euro-elections

7 – Lib Dem GB vote % in Euro-elections

8 – UKIP GB vote % in Euro-elections

 

Part 3 – International elections 2014

(50 points for each correct answer)

9 – Brazil: who will win the election for President?

10 – India: who will become Prime Minister following the election?

11 – US: which party will control the Senate following the midterm elections?

 

Part 4 – the Opinion Polls – what will the Guardian ICM series report as…?

(50 points for accurate answers reducing by ten points for each 1% out until zero points are reached)

12 – Labour’s highest percentage during the year
13 – Labour’s lowest percentage during the year

14 – The Conservatives’ highest percentage during the year
15 – The Conservatives’ lowest percentage during the year

16 – The Lib Dems’ highest percentage during the year
17 – The Lib Dems’ lowest percentage during the year

18 – UKIP’s highest percentage during the year
19 – UKIP’s lowest percentage during the year

20 – Labour’s biggest lead over the Conservatives
21 – Labour’s smallest lead over the Conservatives/the Conservatives’ biggest lead over Labour

(In the unlikely event that the Guardian series is discontinued, other ICM polls will be used, or failing that a selection of polls at the discretion of Mike Smithson.)

 

Double Carpet (@electiongame)