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Take the 33-1 that UKIP will win Cambourne and Redruth

December 18th, 2013

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PaddyPower has put up some more GE2015 single constituency markets including the Cornish seats of Cambourne Redruth which the Tories took off the Lib Dems in 2010.

The latest prices are CON 2/5: LD 5/2: LAB 8/1 and UKIP 33/1

As highlighted by Stuart Dickson and others on a previous threads the UKIP option is a good value bet. When it went up it was priced at 40/1 – odds that quickly moved in.

    What makes this seat particularly interesting is that UKIP held its deposit at the general election and in May’s county council elections chalked up an aggregate vote total that would put it into the lead if repeated at a general election

In many ways it is now a 4-way marginal which means that it could be won on a very low vote share.

It must be UKIP’s best prospect in the West Country, The current betting price is great value.

Mike Smithson

Blogging from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble since 2004