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December 3rd, 2013

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For three and a half years I have highlighted the YouGov “most to blame for the cuts” tracker as, perhaps, a good non-voting intention tracker. On the face of it you’d think that if the red team was continuing to get the blame with less than a year and a half to go then it would start to appear in the voting numbers.

Yet that doesn’t seem to be happening. Labour continue to have good solid leads across all the firms while the Tories continue to struggle.

Looking closely at the YouGov cross-tabs or responses by party and you see that CON and LAB voters are highly partisan.

Maybe the big impact of the “blame game” will be in encouraging existing supporters to actually vote. It perhaps won’t lead to much party switching.

Mike Smithson

Blogging from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble since 2004