In spite of his current travails the betting markets make EdM the leader most likely to hang on to his job during 2013
Dave deemed to be most at risk party leader during 2013 according to PaddyPower See odds expressed as percentages pic.twitter.com/WDp7dFiJiu
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 6, 2013
Dave is the one most at risk
As a general rule I think that we over-estimate the chances of leaders being booted out when the going gets a bit tough. Time and time again we’ve seen people hang on even in, apparently, the most difficult of circumstances.
The basic fact is that once someone has climbed the greasy poll high enough up to become leader of their party then they’ll have built up a level of resilience.They don’t give up easily.
So I’m not attracted by any of the PaddyPower prices.
Mike Smithson
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