Betfair Politics The main overall White House race market on Betfair is this one – on which party will win the election in November. Clearly at the moment we don’t know who the GOP candidate will be and whether there could be a third contender. Donald Trump has been mentioned as has Ron Paul should he not get the Republican nomination. We’ve also seen Obama’s approval ratings edging back up and generally these can be a good pointer. In the…
How are you liking the system for this year’s POTY elections? As PB regulars will recall we generally hold our Poster of the Year elections using first past the post. Twelve months ago, after the formal voting had taken place, Rod Crosby staged an experimental ballot using the AV system – which was to be the subject of the referendum a few months later. This year, as an experiment, we are using a system that has not been seen much…
Mike Snyder (Sea Shanty Irish) looks back at the record YEAR Party STATE TOTAL VOTES FIRST PLACE 2nd PLACE 3rd PLACE 4th PLACE 5th PLACE 1988 Dem Iowa D = 120,000 Gephardt 31% Simon 27% DUKAKIS 22% Jackson 9% Babbit 6% NH D = 125,000 DUKAKIS 36% Gephardt 20% Simon 17% Jackson 8% Iowa give Gephardt narrow win, but NH backlash boosts neighbor Dukakis, sets back Gephardt & Simon Rep Iowa R = 110,000 Dole 38% Robertson 25% BUSH1 19%…
Now for the international section When voting closed at the appointed time yesterday the person with most votes in the newcomer category of the PB Poster of the Year was MrsB. It was a tightly fought contest with at different stages three contenders being in the lead. The final result was:- MrsB 201 votes Old_Labour 196 votes Beverley_C 192 votes Mick Pork 101 votes Uniondivvie 39 votes Congratulations to Mrs B and all who made the short-list. The election took…
Are we now over the veto bounce? Anthony Wells at UKPollingReport signed off yesterday saying “No polls over Christmas of course,..” well on that count at least he’s wrong. The Guardian has held over its December ICM poll for its Boxing Day edition. LAB is up two to 36% while CON is down three to 37%. The LDs move up another point from the pollster which traditionally has them in a better light than other firms. Although the changes are…
And PB Xmas would not be Xmas without the Annual StJohn Crossword Across 1. Service commonly received (5) 4. Wheeler dealer’s last to pay money back, after a short interval (8) 8. Tory, by turning over Laurel leaf nearly hid Lib Dem victory? (7,7) 10. Politician gets lost over European integration (9) 11. Step dancer has his wings clipped (5) 12. Write new edit, circulated by newspaper (6) 14. The genie is out for the majority in England (8) 17….
Betfair Politics Are you profiting from the violent swings? For those political punters who love trading by trying to anticipate how the betting prices will change the White House race is absolutely absorbing and if you get it right very profitable. For not only have we seen violent changes in prices the Betfair betting exchange market has been liquid – something that doesn’t happen very often with political bets. Now, as we look forward to the start of actual voting…
This is the first of the three categories of PB Posters of the Year. The short-list has been drawn up by Sunil, Peter the Punter and myself and it’s been decided to have a slightly different voting system. Essentially you can vote for as many candidates as you wish. Clearly if you have one strong personal favourite then just tick against his or her name. But if you think a number of contenders are worthy of the title then put…