Is too much weight given to the views of Mirror readers? The YouGov daily poll overnight saw an opening of the gap between Labour and the Tories with shares of CON 37%: LAB 43%: LD 8%. The Labour 43% is only two points below the party’s post-general election high. For well over a year the online pollster YouGov has consistently been reporting higher Labour shares than the other firms. Thus in all but two YouGov polls since December the party…
A busy day and it will be interesting to see what the papers make of the Miliband speech. Have a good evening in the cafe – and, once again, thanks to Marf for her excellent spoof of the famous Hopper painting. @MikeSmithsonPB
So what’s the verdict? How did EdM do? For me the most striking feature of this afternoon’s speech was the outbreak of booing in parts of the audience when Miliband mentioned Tony Blair. Maybe they’d forgotten that the target of their hostility was one of only three Labour leaders ever to lead their party to overall majorities in general elections – something that Blair did a record three times. Miliband declares that he’s not Tony Blair yet the speech did…
Discuss EdM’s here on PB It is due to start at 2.15pm
Are leaders able to build from a low base? The above is the breakdown of responses to the big non-voting intention question in the overnight ComRes telephone poll for the Independent. It’s not good for Ed Miliband with a third of those saying they’d vote Labour in the disagree column. In a general election people are voting for much more than a party and these poll findings can be highly indicative. As I’ve repeated several times here the polling experience…
And more poor numbers for Ed Miliband For the first time since October last year the Tories have moved ahead of Labour according to ComRes. On the Labour leader just 24 per cent agreed and 57 per cent disagreed that EdM was a credible prime minister-in-waiting. Only 27 per cent thought that Ed Balls would make a better Chancellor than George Osborne, while 43 per cent disagreed. Four in 10 people (40 per cent) said they would be more likely…
Will today’s speech start to win more support? New polling data issued today by ICM suggests that Ed Balls is rated more highly by Lib Dem voters than Labour ones. When asked whether the shadow chancellor was doing a good job/bad job the sample split 45% to 27% against the Labour shadow chancellor. Amongst those intending to vote Lib Dem the split was 38% good to 39% bad. With Labour voters, however, only 34% were ready to put him into…
Will Ashcroft’s new poll make uncomfortable reading? There’s another one of Michael Ashcroft’s massive polls out this morning which involved an overall sample of more than 13,000 in 41 marginal seats. They were all contacted by telephone – I assume by Populus the firm that has done much of Ashcroft’s research. Eight of the seats are Tory-held seats with the LDs in second place. The rest are Tory seats with Labour in second place. The key numbers are in the…