I’ve had quite a busy day betting.

My respect for HenryG is such that I thought it was worth wagering a fair bit on his core proposition that EdM is not going to survive and that Yvette Cooper is best placed to win a new leadership election. I got on her at 4/1 which seems like a good price. I also got more on at 11/4 that EdM will step down as leader before the general election.

Tonight’s YouGov daily poll has CON 38: LAB 41: LD 9 – so no conference bounce for Ed.

Anyway – have a good night in the “Cafe” – PB’s informal overnight thread.

@MikeSmithsonPB