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Month: July 2011

Is Boris hoping for a Tory by-election vacancy?

Is Boris hoping for a Tory by-election vacancy?

Is the mayor scheming to get Dave’s job? What is Boris Johnson up to? With the London Olympics being only a year off he’s hardly been off our screens and even before that he was getting attention putting forward his plan to deal with Britain’s growth challenge. The fact that his proposals were out of kilter with current coalition policy is neither here nor there. Just look at his responses in the final minute or so of the John Snow’s…

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The London Olympics – the great divide

The London Olympics – the great divide

Why so little interest? With one year to go until the opening ceremony of the Olympic Games in London, a YouGov shows British divided over support for the Games and the benefits hosting will bring. 40% are interested in the London Olympic Games with one year to go 44% think London should have bid for the Games, 42% disagree 55% think the Games will be good for London generally Athletics is the most popular sport with 68% choosing it as…

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Will the coalition collapse over the boundary review?

Will the coalition collapse over the boundary review?

Will October 2013 be the critical moment? At a briefing suggestion on the boundary review this lunch-time a leading Tory insider suggested that the most critical issue for the future of the coalition will be the vote on the new boundaries that is expected to take place in October 2013 (Note that the vote due then is not on the legislation which has already been agreed and enacted. Rather it on the the detailed proposals to redraw the electoral map….

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Who’ll blink first in the US debt crisis?

Who’ll blink first in the US debt crisis?

Guardian Will Obama and Congress go to the brink and beyond? Possibly the biggest political gamble going on at the moment is the series of judgement calls being made by politicians in Washington. By their failure to agree so far, they are running the very real risk of at the least a partial shutdown of the federal government and at worst an outright default. None of it need happen. The markets are willing to lend the money the government needs…

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How steep a mountain does Labour have to climb?

How steep a mountain does Labour have to climb?

How hard is it going to be to return to power? There are two schools of thought in the Labour Party on the scale of the defeat at the 2010 election. Important expectations are tied to each of these and are creating a peculiar dynamic in the party right now. It sounds strange, but one year on and many of us cannot agree how badly we did and how far we are from the winning post. The first camp led…

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Growth: Will blaming the Wedding sound a bit lame?

Growth: Will blaming the Wedding sound a bit lame?

But was this a factor in the likely gloomy news? The big story today and, possibly longer, will be the economic growth figures for April – June 2011 (Q2) that are due out this morning. The signs are that the figures are not good and one of the explanations being put forward is that so many people took extended breaks at the time of the royal wedding. It will be recalled that this took place on Friday April 29th three…

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ComRes: 2 in 3 say News Corp shouldn’t own only ANY of BSkyB

ComRes: 2 in 3 say News Corp shouldn’t own only ANY of BSkyB

And Labour open up 6 point lead The chart I’m featuring from the new ComRes telephone poll out for tomorrow’s Independent is the one that is being highlighted by the pollster and most probably the paper itself – responses to the question “The hacking scandal shows that Rupert Murdoch’s News Corporation is not “fit and proper” to own any part of BskyB” As can be seen from the chart those interviewed were very supportive of the proposition with not too…

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